Future Hall of Fame Outfielders – American League

Future Hall of Fame Baseball Player Series:

  1. First Basemen
  2. Second Basemen
  3. Shortstops
  4. Third Basemen
  5. Outfielders – American League
  6. Outfielders – National League
  7. Catchers
  8. Starting Pitchers
  9. Closers

Since there are so many potential future Hall of Fame outfielders, I decided to divide them into two lists – current National League and current American League outfielders. Here are the candidates currently in the American League. Surprisingly, I don’t think there are any current “no doubt” Hall of Fame outfielders in the American league.

Really Good Chance

  • Manny Ramirez

Manny is virtually a done deal, and he could probably retire today and have about a 95% chance of making it to the Hall. I think there’s still just a bit of room for debate with him. His offensive numbers are impressive though – 489 home runs, 1,595 RBI, 1,327 runs scored, .313 batting average, and a .594 slugging percentage. He’s been the model of consistency by having at least 30 homers and 100 RBI in 11 of the last 12 seasons. At 35 years old, he’s likely to play a few more seasons, and really pad those stats.

  • Sammy Sosa

Sosa would probably be a lock for the Hall if it weren’t for his steroids suspicions and the corked bat incident. He’s basically a power hitter, and not much else, but his power numbers are impressive. 604 home runs, 1,647 RBI, and 1,465 runs scored would generally guarantee your place in Cooperstown, but I’ve got a feeling he may share the same fate as Mark McGwire. We’ll just have to wait and see.

  • Vladimir Guerrero

Like Manny Ramirez, Guerrero has been the model of consistency throughout his career. At age 31, he’s still probably got several productive seasons in him, so his final numbers should be awesome. Here are highlights of his career stats: 1,924 hits, 356 home runs, 1,144 RBI, 1,017 runs scored, and a .324 batting average.

  • Ichiro Suzuki

Usually, when players get a late start to their MLB career, they don’t stand much of a chance at making the Hall. Not so in Ichiro’s case. He didn’t play his first major league game until he was 27, yet he has managed to gather over 1,500 hits and 250 stolen bases by age 33. He shows no signs of slowing down yet, so he’s got a real shot at reaching 2,500+ hits and close to 500 stolen bases, as well as a .330+ batting average.

  • Gary Sheffield

Sheffield is another guy that could be hurt by steroids suspicions, but I think his numbers are impressive enough to get him in the Hall. Right now he’s got 479 home runs, over 1,500 RBI and runs scored, 2,500 hits, a .297 batting average, and 238 stolen bases. He’s 38 years old, so he probably won’t play more than a couple of more years. But, if he plays a couple of more years, he’ll probably be around 550 homers, 1,700 RBI and runs, and not be too far from 3,000 hits. That should be plenty to get him into the Hall, even with some off the field issues.

50/50 Chance

  • Magglio Ordonez

A couple of yeas ago when Ordonez was injured, I would have said there was no way he could make it to the Hall, but he’s really come back strong from those injuries. Right now he’s at 1,595 hits, 241 home runs, 962 RBI, and a career batting average of .310. He’s having a career year in 2007, so if he can avoid the injury bug and can play anywhere near as well as he is this season, he’s got a real shot at putting up Hall-worthy numbers.

Iffy at Best

  • Bobby Abreu

Abreu’s numbers are pretty similar to Ordonez’s, and he’s also 33 years old. Abreu actually has more hits, runs, and stolen bases than Ordonez, but I don’t like his chances of making it as much as Magglio’s. The reason being that Abreu is starting to see a drop off in his numbers while Magglio is playing better than ever. Right now Abreu has 1,722 hits, 218 home runs, 964 RBI, 1,039 runs, 286 stolen bases, and a .301 batting average. These are very nice numbers, but with the decline in power, speed and batting average he’s experienced, its looking like he’ll end up with very nice numbers that just aren’t quite worthy of the Hall of Fame.

  • Garrett Anderson

Anderson looks like even a longer shot than Abreu. He’s got 2,154 hits, 247 home runs, 1,164 RBI, and a .296 batting average. Very good numbers, but at 35 years old, it’ll be tough for him to reach a major milestone number like 3,000 hits. He’s also missing more and more games due to injury, and he hasn’t had 20 home runs or 100 RBI in a season since 2003. Ultimately, the lack of any numbers that really jump out at you will almost certainly keep Anderson from the Hall.

  • Johnny Damon

Damon is another guy who’s put up good numbers, but who has done nothing that makes you think he should be considered for the Hall. He’s got 2,057 hits, 1,258 runs, and 326 stolen bases, but those are really the only numbers that jump out at you. He’s 34 years old, and his numbers are definitely declining, so he’ll likely end up short of what’s needed.

Too Early to Tell

  • Carl Crawford

Carl Crawford is one of the best young outfielders in the majors right now. He just turned 26 years old, but he’s already got nearly 1,000 hits. Most impressive though are his speed numbers. He’s got over 250 stolen bases and has led the American League in steals 3 of the last 4 years, and is leading this season as well. He’s also already got 74 career triples, and has led the American League in that category the last 3 years. If he can play 10 more years at a fairly high level, there’s a good chance he could finish with 600+ stolen bases, 150-200 triples, and close to 3,000 hits. He’s an exciting young player, so let’s hope he can keep it up.

Close but no Cigar

  • Jermaine Dye

Dye is the first American League outfielder that comes to mind as having a really nice career, but has no chance of making it to the Hall of Fame. His 260 homers and 800+ RBI and runs are good, but at 33 years old, there’s virtually no way he could boost those numbers enough to get into the conversation.

Three other guys almost made the “close but no cigar” category – Darin Erstad, Torii Hunter, and Hideki Matsui – but I thought their numbers were even less impressive than Dye’s. Also, Grady Sizemore and Vernon Wells are a couple of other young outfielders that might work their way into the conversation, but Crawford is clearly the best of that group right now.

Advertisements

9 Responses to “Future Hall of Fame Outfielders – American League”

  1. tsos20 Says:

    Vlad and Ichiro have a way to go. Don’t be surprised to find Sheffield frozen out of the bigs sooner than he would want. He may not get the chance to pad his stats. At 38 he is 1 bad year away from done.

    Manny Ramirez could be qualified by the end of the year. 11 more HR’s and he has 500 HR almost 500 2B and 1600 RBI with a .313 AVG. He also played on the ’04 Red Sox. That counts big. The division title to end the Yankees streak this year would count a little and he would be in.

    You hit the nail on the head with Sosa.
    The Sultan on Sports

    http://www.tsos20.wordpress.com

  2. Bob Says:

    I’ve got to say. I expect Crawford to blow past 3000 hits. His batting average keeps going up every year.

    Everything has to keep going his way, but I wonder if 3500 is out of reach for him.

  3. andrew Says:

    Debate on Manny. Jeter and Manny came in to the league together. I know because I have their rookie cards. Every year they’ve excelled as 2 of the best at their position, and shown consistent greatness. I’ve now watched baseball for more than a half century. Jeter and Manny are proven H.O.F.’ers. Clutch hitting and consistency. Manny’s the best hitter/slugger of the last 30 years, who didn’t cheat. Not since Mays, Aaron, and F.Robby has they’re been a hitter at their level for so long a period. This was Manny’s worst year of his career and that speaks volumes.

  4. Joe F Says:

    I love Carl Crawford as a player. A leadoff hitter with pop who makes great plays in the field and steals bases like crazy. All-around players like him are so rare, and he’s so young still. Think of how good he’ll be at age 29

  5. Cardnutt Says:

    Vlad is probably my favorite player in the game. I don’t think he has a “ways to go”, especially after another great year in 2007. The guy just HITS! He’s got a .325 career average and has hit over .315 in 9 of his last 10 seasons. He’s only 31 and already has 365 HR and nearly 2,000 hits and 1,200 RBI! He’ll be a lock by his 35th birthday…PLUS

    2004 MVP
    8x All-Star
    6x Silver Slugger

    Also, LOVE Ichiro. They say it doesn’t matter, but I think his dominance in the Japanese league before coming to the states may have some influence in the back of the minds of the voters.

  6. Ken Says:

    Dont forget Rickey Henderson who when he left the game he was alltime leader in……
    Steals
    Walks
    Runs scored
    Lead off game with a HRs 80+
    A MVP “90”
    A MVP in plays offs “89”
    1 gold glove “81”
    10x all star
    3x sliver sliver
    for 25 seasons as a lead off hitter and PH

    AB 10961 10th all time
    .279
    3000+hits
    510 doubles
    297hrs
    1,115 Rbis
    .401 lifetime OBP, 15 of 25 season he posted .400 or better
    only stuckout 1 time 100 or more

  7. Brian Says:

    Hate to sound like a homer, but If this site is still being updated there should be mention of Sizemore on here.

    He just got to 30/30/30 last week, and he basically carried the Cleveland team to the ALCS last year… assuming no broken bones, I think he’s got a shot to be the next all around offensive candidate…

    oh.. did i mention he won the 2007 gold glove?

  8. Seattle Mariners Hat Wearer Says:

    As a far-away (Europe) Mariners fan, I am always looking for new sites with information about Ichiro and the rest of the Mariners.

  9. Rowan Campbell Says:

    I would vote for sammy sosa he is the best player i saw.
    He was a great power hitter who could do it all.
    He was a very good rf with a strong arm.
    Sammy Sosa is on of the best ever


Leave a Reply

Fill in your details below or click an icon to log in:

WordPress.com Logo

You are commenting using your WordPress.com account. Log Out / Change )

Twitter picture

You are commenting using your Twitter account. Log Out / Change )

Facebook photo

You are commenting using your Facebook account. Log Out / Change )

Google+ photo

You are commenting using your Google+ account. Log Out / Change )

Connecting to %s

%d bloggers like this: